This is good news. We can breath now :-) if its realastic scenario
AI Layoffs Seem To Be Reversed. The Economics Are Catching Up.
6 Comments
@[James Dayal] Thanks for the comment. Agree, the movements are big and slow, this is an observation of 2026 HY1. But, I think, it is more representative, than earlier speculations, because processes slowed down and the real life experience has accumulated. As always, the single constant in life is changes :)
@[Valentine Shimanovsky] I think that you are more correct than you are allowing for. If you combine what you layed out in this article (end user perspective) with what we know about the cost of creating the inference in the first place. Not to mention the, already diminishing, investor confidence.
It is a cool technology, unfortunately, nothing suggests that it is a financially stable technology. c'est la vie
@[Bryan MacLee] Thanks! That is an insightful conclusion. I agree that the total cost + investments to be paid back are all a black box and can threaten the end user pricing. I also love the tech itself and would really miss it if the financial equation would drive prices up. Time will tell.
However, in this department, I would note 3 moves. The earlier so-called open-weight models progress that continues up to now, the OpenAI Codex (a coding agent) price drop late July, Terra model -20%, Luna model -80%. And the last is that, when fenced the right way, and feed smaller well-defined tasks, Luna can make architecture, design and code pretty well. I have experienced it for week on one of my projects.
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I own - design and build production backend systems end-to-end in collaboration with product and engineering teams: from requirements, system architecture and contract-first APIs (OpenAPI) to ingestion pipelines, async orchestration, deployment, observability.
I actively use AI-augmented development workflows and spec-driven engineering to accelerate delivery while preserving the code validity and effectively minimizing defects. I design and implement AI/LLM programmatic decision workflows with constrained outputs, controlled vocabularies, and deterministic validation to ensure reliable behavior and eventual correctness in systems.
I ship high-reliability, low-firefight backend platforms for startups and early scale-ups, from day one built to be easily evolvable and fully prepared for continuous product change.
I use the following tools for that:
- Extended Model-Based Engineering (C4, UML/PlantUML for domain, architecture and fine sequence/state modeling)
- Domain-Driven Design (DDD) with Hexagonal Architecture
- Contract-First APIs (OpenAPI, AsyncAPI, JSON Schema validation, generated contracts enforcement)
- ATDD/TDD/E2E (Specification-by-Example, data providers, Testcontainers, integration-first backend testing)
- Event-driven and async workflow architectures (webhooks, queues, idempotence, state-based orchestration workflows)
- Deterministic automated code quality gates (linting, static analysis, git hook guards in CI, ~100% code coverage)
- Competent AI-augmented product engineering: OpenSpec SDD, agentic workflows, rapid prototyping, legacy refactoring, vibe-coding remediation, explicit engineering introduction
See my public engineering case: AI-Powered Image Generation & Publication System (Imagetron) at: https://valentineshi.dev/content/deliverables/K3aT7UX_RCC8ZO_fy9VinQ/ai-powered-image-generation-publication-system-imagetron
More details and other delivered public cases: https://valentineshi.dev Show less
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