The Truth About AI's Impact on New Developers

The Truth About AI's Impact on New Developers

Backer posted Originally published at www.beyondcode.app 3 min read

It’s no secret: AI is currently changing our world. And with these changes, I hear one question over and over again..

“Will AI replace software developers?”

In order to answer that, we need to talk horses.

Horses?

The year is 1900. You’ve been happily running your horse carriage business. In fact, your family has been in the field for decades, and everything is great. That is, until this shmuck named Henry comes around.

Henry slaps a few wheels on a metal box and sells his new “automobiles”. At first you scoff at the idea (after all, who doesn’t love a city run on constantly excreting horses). But soon Henry starts getting some traction with his invention. Suddenly you start to worry…

Are horses going to be replaced?

The Options

So clearly in this metaphor, programmers are the doomed horse carriage owners who now fret over the AI automobiles. We’ve realized our field is about to be permanently changed. At this point, we’ve got two main options:

  1. Give up, shake our fist at the sky, and spend the rest of our days cursing the artificially intelligent Henry Ford
  2. Realize that your experience in the business can be a huge asset. Sure, the industry might be changing, but our experience can set us up for major success if we transition with it.

AI

Alright look, nobody knows how AI is going to transform our next few years (let alone decades).

Will certain jobs become outdated just like our once thriving horse carriage business? Undoubtedly. But that doesn’t mean the industry is doomed. It just means that major shifts will be taking place.

At this point, some people will yell “But I don’t want to change! I’m happy with things as they are.” And for those people, unfortunately, I’ve got to be the bearer of bad news..

This industry doesn’t work like that.

Changing Tides

Tech is a revolving door of changes.

New languages come. “Groundbreaking” frameworks become the latest trend. Old languages become relics. You get the point.

If you learn enough programming to get a job and then decide you don’t want to learn ever again, you’re going to have a rough time. Can it be done? Sure, some people do get by a few decades working with outdated tech at old companies.

But, at the same time, the demand for FORTRAN and Pascal devs hasn’t really been on the rise lately.

The people who find the most success in tech are those who regularly learn and move with the changing tides.

What's Your Point?

Alright, alright. I know that “tech changes” is not some major revelation. But it’s still worth considering this intrinsic nature of our industry.

These new changes with AI shouldn’t be something you dread. If you’re someone considering programming as a career, I still encourage you strongly to do so. And if you’re a current developer worried about future job security, don’t feel like your doom is inevitable.

At the same time, don’t ignore the new breakthroughs in technology coming out. It’s crucial to your career that you pay attention and learn the new trends that arise. If you ignore these major shifts, you’ll undoubtedly get left behind by the industry.

So for the owners of any horse carriage businesses out there, the world isn’t ending.

Will you need to learn, adapt, and pivot with these new breakthroughs? Sure. But that’s honestly the way the world tends to work anyways. As the Italian writer Giuseppe Tomasi once said,

If we want things to stay as they are, things will have to change.

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Nice article! Thank you

I love the horse carriage analogy! It perfectly captures what I've been observing across the industry. The developers thriving right now aren't those avoiding AI - they're the ones who've learned to orchestrate it effectively.

Your point about tech being a 'revolving door of changes' is crucial. I've interviewed teams where developers went from $16/hour traditional coding to $22-24/hour AI-augmented roles by embracing the transition. The key insight: they're not writing less code, they're solving bigger problems.

For new developers especially, this is actually an incredible opportunity. Instead of spending months learning syntax and debugging basic errors, they can focus immediately on architecture, business logic, and creative problem-solving - the skills that will always be valuable.

The companies I cover that are succeeding aren't replacing developers with AI - they're creating hybrid roles where humans handle strategy and creativity while AI handles the routine implementation. It's less about learning to code and more about learning to think systemically.

Your Giuseppe Tomasi quote is perfect. The developers who adapt now will define what the profession looks like in five years. Those who don't... well, they'll be maintaining FORTRAN systems while everyone else builds the future.

Thank you for such kind words! And yes, I completely agree with everything you've mentioned.

I've also been seeing a major shift in how the problems given to developers has shifted. As AI tooling continues to improve, I see the role of developer moving more and more to a "guide" than the one writing lines and lines of code. If developers can effectively architect and understand the best approach to solve large problems, the AI tooling is incredible at handling all of the legwork that would previously have taken weeks of nonstop coding.

It's certainly going to be interesting to continue watching how the industry develops alongside these new tools!

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